Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
3 - 1
Birmingham

Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
McLean (16')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Colin (53')
Chang (5'), Bacuna (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Huddersfield 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Norwich were disappointed after leaving Wigan with just a point on Saturday afternoon and will be desperate to get back to winning ways in order to keep the top six within touching distance. Birmingham were hit with a loss as well as two damaging injuries at Huddersfield last time out, and it will be a tough ask to avoid a similar fate in terms of the result at Carrow Road on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Birmingham City
56.44% ( -3.06)	23.13% ( 0.86)	20.43% ( 2.19)

Both teams to score 52% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.31% (

-0.58)

47.69% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.11% (

-0.54)

69.89% (

0.54)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3% (

-1.24)

16.69% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.42% (

-2.27)

46.58% (

2.27)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.42% (

2.05)

37.58% (

-2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.64% (

1.95)

74.36% (

-1.96)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 56.44%

Birmingham City 20.43%

Draw 23.12%

Norwich City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6% ( -0.65) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.08% Total : 56.44%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.12%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.43%