MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:37:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
3 - 1
Birmingham

Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
McLean (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Colin (53')
Chang (5'), Bacuna (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Norwich were disappointed after leaving Wigan with just a point on Saturday afternoon and will be desperate to get back to winning ways in order to keep the top six within touching distance. Birmingham were hit with a loss as well as two damaging injuries at Huddersfield last time out, and it will be a tough ask to avoid a similar fate in terms of the result at Carrow Road on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
56.44% (-3.057 -3.06) 23.13% (0.862 0.86) 20.43% (2.192 2.19)
Both teams to score 52% (0.957 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-0.579 -0.58)47.69% (0.576 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.538 -0.54)69.89% (0.536 0.54)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-1.244 -1.24)16.69% (1.242 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (-2.272 -2.27)46.58% (2.269 2.27)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (2.051 2.05)37.58% (-2.054 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (1.954 1.95)74.36% (-1.955 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 56.44%
    Birmingham City 20.43%
    Draw 23.12%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.648 -0.65)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.419 -0.42)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 56.44%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.472 0.47)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.481 0.48)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.244 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
81.6%
Draw
9.6%
Birmingham City
8.8%
114
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
Jan 18, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Pukki (13'), Vrancic (22'), Trybull (25')
Adams (14')
Kieftenbeld (27'), Pedersen (29'), Gardner (80'), Morrison (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!