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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Norwich logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Norwich

Sykes (24')
Williams (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McLean (31'), Aarons (57'), Omobamidele (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Burnley
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Norwich City

Earlier in this season, this may have been regarded as an away banker, but times have changed. Although Norwich have shown promise under Wagner, they are facing a team playing with confidence, and we expect a competitive draw to occur at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
26.59% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 24.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 48.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.38% (-0.131 -0.13)48.61% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.12 -0.12)70.73% (0.123 0.12)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)32.54% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.167 -0.17)69.07% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)20.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)52.24% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 26.59%
    Norwich City 48.63%
    Draw 24.78%
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 7.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.59%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.63%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Norwich

Bristol City
36.4%
Draw
9.1%
Norwich City
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')
Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 12.30pm
Bristol City
1-3
Norwich
Hunt (15')
Pukki (6', 14'), Buendia (45+1')
Sorensen (60'), Gibson (66'), Krul (73'), Rupp (77')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
McLean (36', 66'), Godfrey (55')
Trybull (70')
Paterson (12'), O'Dowda (37')
Kalas (38'), Watkins (95'), Palmer (96')
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
Bristol City
2-2
Norwich
Diedhiou (45'), O'Dowda (53')
Watkins (83')
Stiepermann (39'), Aarons (78')
Tettey (41'), Buendia (71'), Godfrey (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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