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Reading logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Millwall logo

Reading
0 - 1
Millwall


Rinomhota (56'), Yiadom (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cooper (37')
Wallace (11'), Cooper (45')

Preview: Reading vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall will be targeting a fifth consecutive win when they travel to Reading in the Championship on Saturday afternoon.

The Lions are up to 11th following their good form, while the Royals continue to battle relegation in 21st.


Match preview

Millwall's Tyler Burey celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 23, 2022© Reuters

Millwall are on their best run of form for nearly four years and are aiming to win five successive games for the first time since April 2012.

Jake Cooper's header just after the hour mark gave the Lions a 1-0 win over Sheffield United last weekend to move them to within five points of the playoffs.

After their trip to Berkshire, Gary Rowett's side face three consecutive games against teams currently in the top eight, so continuing their momentum this weekend will be crucial.

However, Millwall have only won four of their 16 away matches in the Championship this season – only five clubs in the division have won fewer on the road.

The Lions are unbeaten in their last four matches against Reading, with Benik Afobe securing a 1-0 win over the Royals at The Den in November.

Reading's Michael Morrison talks to referee Robert Jones after Huddersfield's Danny Ward scored their third goal on January 22, 2022© Reuters

In beating Birmingham City in their last game at the Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading won at home for the first time in 11 attempts.

It was interim boss Paul Ince's first match in charge and it was followed by a 4-1 defeat away at Blackpool last weekend that brought the Royals back down to earth.

Reading are currently six points above the relegation zone having played a game more than 22nd-placed Barnsley, so there remains plenty of work for Ince left to do.

This is the first of four games in a row that they will play against top half sides, so the Royals could easily get dragged right back into trouble over the next few weeks.

Reading have the worst defence in the Championship having conceded 67 goals in 34 games, but they are also the second-highest scorers in the bottom half.

Reading Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Millwall Championship form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured on November 27, 2021© Reuters

Reading centre-back pair Scott Dann and Tom Holmes are in contention to feature after recent injuries but may only make the bench.

Holmes is more likely to start, given that midfielder Andy Rinomhota was forced to play out of position at right-back last weekend.

Josh Laurent is still a couple of weeks away from a return, while goalkeeper Karl Hein could be out for the season after suffering a thumb injury at home.

Millwall will be without Mason Bennett and Shaun Hutchinson after the pair were both forced off with injuries against Sheffield United last weekend.

They join a lengthy injury list for the Lions with Maikel Kieftenbeld, Sheyi Ojo, Tom Bradshaw, Ryan Leonard, Oliver Burke and Luke Freeman all sidelined too.

There is better news regarding Afobe though, as the striker should be fit to return following a hamstring problem.

Reading possible starting lineup:
Southwood; Yiadom, Morrison, Holmes, McIntyre; Rinomhota, Drinkwater; Meite, Swift, Ince; Joao

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Ballard, M. Wallace, Cooper; McNamara, Saville, Mitchell, Malone; J. Wallace; Burey, Afobe


SM words green background

We say: Reading 1-1 Millwall

A full week on the training ground will have allowed Ince to get his ideas across at Reading and the Royals could nick a point against Millwall, whose lengthy injury list might just catch up with them despite their imperious form.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Reading vs Millwall

Reading
30.0%
Draw
37.5%
Millwall
32.5%
40
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