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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Plymouth Argyle

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Cooper (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Plymouth Argyle

Although it remains to be seen whether Millwall will react positively or negatively to playing with reduced pressure, we cannot ignore their three successive wins. While Plymouth have improved of late, a home victory looks far more likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
51.02% (0.188 0.19) 24.85% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (0.178 0.18)50.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.156 0.16)72.72% (-0.155 -0.16)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.148 0.15)19.92% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.235 0.23)52.06% (-0.235 -0.23)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 24.12%
    Draw 24.84%
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 51.02%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.12%

How you voted: Millwall vs Plymouth

Millwall
70.4%
Draw
14.8%
Plymouth Argyle
14.8%
54
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Oct 30, 2005 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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