Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
0 - 2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Millwall

With very little separating the sides in the table, home form could be a decisive factor in determining the outcome here. Plymouth have shown fine form at home with three big wins so far this season and are slight favourites to make that four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Millwall
30.99% ( -0.37)	24.63% ( -0.14)	44.38% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 57.45% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62% (

0.48)

45.37% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

0.46)

67.71% (

-0.46)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

-0.01)

27.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74% (

-0)

63.26% (

-0)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

0.42)

20.54% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95% (

0.67)

53.05% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 30.99%

Millwall 44.38%

Draw 24.63%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Millwall
2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.99%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.38%