Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Stoke

Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Watford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-2 Stoke City

At some point, the assumption is that this Millwall squad will eventually start to click and make a playoff push. For now, though, we can only back a Stoke side who have settled well, and their extra firepower could prove key in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
31.96% ( -0.19)	27.13% ( 0.08)	40.9% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51% (

-0.37)

55.49% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33% (

-0.3)

76.67% (

0.3)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

-0.32)

32.14% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

-0.37)

68.62% (

0.36)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33% (

-0.11)

26.66% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

-0.15)

61.91% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Millwall 31.96%

Stoke City 40.9%

Draw 27.13%

Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.96%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.9%