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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
0 - 1
QPR


Campbell (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adomah (48')
Laird (20'), Field (53'), Amos (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 QPR
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Stoke have allowed their season to fizzle out over the last few games and now face a tough assignment against a QPR side full of talent despite their league standing. The R's have earned notable results at West Bromwich Albion and Burnley during their last two away matches, and we believe their travelling fans will have another success to celebrate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
54.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 23.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 21.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.103 -0.1)49.96% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.093 -0.09)71.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)18.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.07 -0.07)49.21% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)37.85% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)74.62% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 54.57%
    Queens Park Rangers 21.45%
    Draw 23.97%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.57%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.45%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Queens Park Rangers
44.4%
27
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Taylor (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
May 1, 2021 3pm
gameweek 45
Stoke
0-2
QPR

Brown (86')
Austin (17'), Kakay (70')
Barbet (28'), Bonne (90')
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Barbet (31'), Hamalainen (50')

Souttar (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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