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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
54.58% ( -0) | 23.97% ( 0.02) | 21.45% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% ( -0.1) | 49.96% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% ( -0.09) | 71.95% ( 0.09) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% ( -0.04) | 18.2% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.79% ( -0.07) | 49.21% ( 0.07) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( -0.07) | 37.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.38% ( -0.07) | 74.62% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.57% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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