Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.