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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
22.81% ( 0.28) | 25.14% ( 0.46) | 52.05% ( -0.74) |
Both teams to score 49.1% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% ( -1.51) | 53.15% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% ( -1.3) | 74.72% ( 1.3) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% ( -0.57) | 38.3% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( -0.55) | 75.06% ( 0.56) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( -0.89) | 20.42% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% ( -1.44) | 52.86% ( 1.44) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.81% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.61% Total : 52.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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