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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Birmingham logo

Wigan
1 - 1
Birmingham

Fletcher (59')
Sinani (13'), McClean (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (4')
Bacuna (30'), Chang (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Birmingham City

Wigan showed glimpses of good play in their defeat at Preston last weekend, and they will certainly be targeting the visit of struggling Birmingham as a game to collect maximum points from as they bid to stay in the Championship. Blues have a host of injury doubts hovering over them ahead of a massively important afternoon in Wigan on Saturday, but given the full week to prepare, we believe that Eustace's should be able to earn a point in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
38.06% (1.229 1.23) 27.19% (-0.277 -0.28) 34.75% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 50.23% (0.787 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (1.02 1.02)55.19% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.834 0.83)76.43% (-0.83199999999999 -0.83)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (1.224 1.22)28.11% (-1.222 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (1.526 1.53)63.79% (-1.523 -1.52)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)30.13% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.113 -0.11)66.27% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 38.06%
    Birmingham City 34.75%
    Draw 27.18%
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Wigan vs Birmingham

Wigan Athletic
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Birmingham City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Wigan
0-3
Birmingham

Burn (90')
Adams (26'), Morrison (45'), Maghoma (61')
Maghoma (64'), Gardner (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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