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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wigan logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Wigan

FT(HT: 0-0)
Broadhead (82')
Keane (66'), Naylor (71')
Bennett (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Wigan Athletic

As Birmingham have been quite resolute so far, conceding only three goals in four league games, they should be able to keep Wigan largely at bay for 90 minutes. However, their own struggle for fluency up front could result in them being forced to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
27.96% (1.449 1.45) 26.14% (-0.111 -0.11) 45.9% (-1.335 -1.34)
Both teams to score 50.78% (1.38 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (1.284 1.28)53.25% (-1.282 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (1.078 1.08)74.81% (-1.076 -1.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (1.857 1.86)33.92% (-1.854 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (1.957 1.96)70.59% (-1.955 -1.96)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)23.15% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.105 -0.1)57.03% (0.105 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.96%
    Wigan Athletic 45.89%
    Draw 26.14%
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.319 0.32)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.229 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.96%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.405 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 11.48% (-0.62 -0.62)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.104 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.89%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wigan

Birmingham City
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Wigan Athletic
20.0%
70
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Wigan
0-3
Birmingham

Burn (90')
Adams (26'), Morrison (45'), Maghoma (61')
Maghoma (64'), Gardner (77')
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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