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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Rotherham logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Rotherham

Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Trusty (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Odofin (29'), Hjelde (45+2'), Fosu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Rotherham United

 Birmingham have not been convincing in their performances for a long time, with their good early-season form the reason why they are not in more danger at the foot of the Championship. Despite a lack of options in defence, the Millers have shown enough quality to survive at this level and should be confident of earning a point at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
46.29% (0.70399999999999 0.7) 27.23% (-0.427 -0.43) 26.49% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.967 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (1.337 1.34)58.1% (-1.333 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (1.039 1.04)78.76% (-1.035 -1.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.95500000000001 0.96)25.09% (-0.951 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (1.301 1.3)59.79% (-1.297 -1.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26% (0.508 0.51)37.74% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.491 0.49)74.51% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 46.28%
    Rotherham United 26.49%
    Draw 27.22%
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.491 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.346 -0.35)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Rotherham

Birmingham City
51.7%
Draw
24.1%
Rotherham United
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Rotherham
0-1
Birmingham

Ihiekwe (57'), Wood (67')
Dean (88')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Rotherham
Bela (90' pen.)
Sunjic (72')
Sadlier (87' pen.)
MacDonald (45+1')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Rotherham
1-3
Birmingham
Crooks (22')
Ajayi (5'), Wood (50'), Vaulks (73')
Maghoma (56'), Jota (63'), Mrabti (93')
Gardner (75')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Birmingham
3-1
Rotherham
Jutkiewicz (20', 23', 68')
Taylor (77')
Mattock (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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