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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Sunderland |
29.77% ( -0.34) | 26.82% ( 0.23) | 43.41% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.99% ( -1.01) | 55.01% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% ( -0.84) | 76.28% ( 0.84) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.54% ( -0.77) | 33.46% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.9% ( -0.85) | 70.09% ( 0.85) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% ( -0.39) | 25.14% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.14% ( -0.55) | 59.85% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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