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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
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Reading
1 - 1
Birmingham

Carroll (7')
Fornah (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jutkiewicz (29')
Bielik (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Reading and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Birmingham City

Reading are in a dangerous situation following their six-point deduction and desperately need three points to ease their understandable relegation worries. Birmingham will be hopeful of continuing a decent run of results and performances in Berkshire on Friday, and we believe they will do just that to all but secure their Championship safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
38.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.4% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 38.89%
    Birmingham City 33.95%
    Draw 27.15%
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.95%

How you voted: Reading vs Birmingham

Reading
33.3%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Bielik (43')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Reading
1-2
Birmingham
Meite (61')
Meite (90+3')
Toral (29', 37')
Hogan (39'), Dean (67'), Etheridge (80'), Leko (88')
Dean (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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