We said: Bristol City 2-1 Reading
Both teams required the international break to reset ahead of the run-in, and it remains to be seen who that suited the most. With home advantage in their favour, we have to back Bristol City, albeit in a close match and where they may only prevail by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.