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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
vs.
Caernarfon

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 3-1 Barry
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Aberystwyth vs. Bala Town
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Caernarfon vs. New Saints
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bala Town win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw has a probability of 23.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it is 0-1 (6.13%).

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
55.88% (4.762 4.76) 23.14% (-1.66 -1.66) 20.97% (-3.1 -3.1)
Both teams to score 52.76% (1.267 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92% (3.609 3.61)47.09% (-3.605 -3.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68% (3.273 3.27)69.32% (-3.269 -3.27)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (3.155 3.15)16.67% (-3.151 -3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (5.371 5.37)46.54% (-5.367 -5.37)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (-0.90799999999999 -0.91)36.69% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (-0.923 -0.92)73.48% (0.92699999999999 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 55.88%
    Caernarfon Town 20.97%
    Draw 23.14%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.296 0.3)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.528 0.53)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.728 0.73)
3-0 @ 5.86% (0.851 0.85)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.3 0.3)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.549 0.55)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.598 0.6)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.249 0.25)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.269 0.27)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.284 0.28)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.81 -0.81)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.975 -0.98)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-1.156 -1.16)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.555 -0.56)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.672 -0.67)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 20.97%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-0
Bala Town
Davies (16'), Mooney (42'), Downey (81'), John Williams (86'), Williams (90')
Kargbo (81'), Robles (88')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-2
Bala Town
Clarke (34'), Lloyd (68')
Cartwright (26')
Arsan (41'), Peate (52')
Smith (27'), Arsan (36'), Absalom (44')
Absalom (47')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Newell (40')
Arsan (57'), Roberts (76')
Davies (50')
Gosset (45+2'), Owen (71'), Bradley (90+5')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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