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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
1 - 1
Bala Town

Clarke (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
34.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.48% (0.004999999999999 0) 40.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 59.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)43.54% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)65.93% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.62% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)59.13% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)21.34% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)54.3% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 34.59%
    Bala Town 40.92%
    Draw 24.48%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.92%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Newell (16'), Roscrow (40'), Venables (89' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Caernarfon
1-5
Bala Town
Thomas (5')
Kay (10'), Nalatche Mendes (34'), Wall (51'), Shannon (65'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
0-2
Bala Town

Donohue (55')
Simpson (80')
Evans (55'), Ebbe (75')
Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
3-3
Bala Town
Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')
Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')
Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Ebbe (36'), Shannon (71', 90+5')
Smith (75')

Hughes (29'), Bailey (55'), Thomas (62'), Jones (82')
Bailey (56')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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