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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 18, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
0 - 2
Bala Town


Donohue (55')
Simpson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (55'), Ebbe (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Bala Town 11-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
19.87%21.9%58.23%
Both teams to score 55.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87%43.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.47%65.52%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46%35.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.7%72.3%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48%14.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.46%42.54%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 19.87%
    Bala Town 58.23%
    Draw 21.9%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-1 @ 5.33%
2-0 @ 2.76%
3-1 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 19.87%
1-1 @ 10.3%
0-0 @ 5.16%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.9%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.61%
1-3 @ 6.39%
0-3 @ 6.18%
2-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 3.08%
0-4 @ 2.98%
2-4 @ 1.6%
1-5 @ 1.19%
0-5 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 58.23%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Bala Town
Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')
Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')
Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Ebbe (36'), Shannon (71', 90+5')
Smith (75')

Hughes (29'), Bailey (55'), Thomas (62'), Jones (82')
Bailey (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-0
Bala Town
Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Bala Town
5-2
Caernarfon
Venables (20', 89'), Spittle (57'), Evans (69', 90+3')
Evans (14'), Venables (35'), Spittle (45+2'), A (45+2'), A (45+3')
Bickerstaff (33'), Hayes (45+2' pen.)
Edwards (36'), M (56')
Mar 20, 2021 2.45pm
Bala Town
1-2
Caernarfon
Evans (16')
Kay (45+1'), Jones (53')
Hayes (47'), Mendes (70')
Williams (52'), Bickerstaff (82'), Cleworth (90+2')
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