Caernarfon
1 - 0
Cardiff MU

Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chubb (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Cardiff MU
24.2%	23.88%	51.92%

Both teams to score 54.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.28%

46.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.01%

68.99%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51%

33.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87%

70.13%

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01%

17.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16%

48.84%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 24.2%

Cardiff MU 51.92%

Draw 23.87%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Cardiff MU
1-0 @ 6.59% 2-1 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.2%	1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 5.07% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.92%