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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 23, 2022 at 12.45pm UK
 

New Saints
3 - 1
Caernarfon

McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dafydd (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

Last Six:
Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 4-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
84.53%10.38%5.09%
Both teams to score 46.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.2%27.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.49%48.51%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.39%4.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.2%18.8%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.76%51.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.5%85.5%
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 84.52%
    Caernarfon Town 5.09%
    Draw 10.38%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
3-0 @ 11.48%
2-0 @ 11.19%
4-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 7.68%
2-1 @ 7.48%
1-0 @ 7.27%
4-1 @ 5.91%
5-0 @ 5.44%
5-1 @ 3.64%
6-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-2 @ 1.98%
6-1 @ 1.87%
7-0 @ 1.23%
5-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 84.52%
1-1 @ 4.86%
2-2 @ 2.5%
0-0 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 10.38%
1-2 @ 1.63%
0-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 5.09%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

Beaumont (26')
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
New Saints
5-3
Caernarfon
Davies (6'), McManus (24'), Bradford (30'), Hudson (75'), Baker (90+4')
Redmond (64'), McManus (67'), Routledge (88')
Gosset (19'), Thomas (68'), G (86')
Donohue (24'), Thomas (60'), Cartwright (63')
Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm
New Saints
0-0
Caernarfon

Mullan (41'), Routledge (45+3'), Robles (66'), Redmond (89')

Thomas (43'), Kenny (78'), Mendes (82'), Brass (90+1'), (90+1')
Gruffydd (77'), Kenny (90+2')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-2
New Saints

Malandjou (11'), Edwards (25')
Edwards (83')
Draper (67'), Hudson (84')
Hudson (13'), Harrington (76')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
New Saints
4-1
Caernarfon
Hudson (8', 84'), Brobbel (48', 71')
Harrington (88')
Malandjou (90+2')
Parker (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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