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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Apr 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 0
Aberystwyth

Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
70.96%18.2%10.84%
Both teams to score 45.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09%44.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73%67.27%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63%11.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.9%36.1%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.96%49.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.02%83.98%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 70.95%
    Aberystwyth Town 10.84%
    Draw 18.2%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 13.18%
1-0 @ 12.12%
3-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 6.81%
4-0 @ 5.19%
4-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.43%
5-0 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 70.95%
1-1 @ 8.64%
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 18.2%
0-1 @ 3.97%
1-2 @ 3.08%
0-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 10.84%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Aberystwyth
Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62')
Davies (78')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Caernarfon

Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')
Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-2
Aberystwyth
Bickerstaff (84'), Bradley (88')
Kenny (52'), (54'), (89'), (90+4'), (90+5')
Owen (40'), Jenkins (90+5')
Williams (44'), Owen (78')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Caernarfon
Williams (88')
Davies (49'), Hewitt (64'), Bradford (90+2'), Rimmer (90+4')
Kenny (21'), Thomas (44')
Hayes (74'), Thomas (83')
Jan 10, 2020 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-3
Aberystwyth

Clark (58'), Evans (62'), Jones (76'), Edwards (77')
Williams (34', 71', 80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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