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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Williams (88')
Davies (49'), Hewitt (64'), Bradford (90+2'), Rimmer (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kenny (21'), Thomas (44')
Hayes (74'), Thomas (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
26.84%22.45%50.7%
Both teams to score 62.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.16%37.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.91%60.09%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05%61.95%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84%15.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24%43.76%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 26.84%
    Caernarfon Town 50.7%
    Draw 22.45%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 6.66%
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 1.55%
4-1 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.84%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 3.95%
1-4 @ 2.82%
0-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 50.7%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
0-3
Aberystwyth

Clark (58'), Evans (62'), Jones (76'), Edwards (77')
Williams (34', 71', 80')
Sep 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Aberystwyth
2-3
Caernarfon
Phillips (30'), Mendes (90')
Roberts (45'), Edwards (55'), Baynes (65')
Edwards (20'), Craig (34' pen.), Smith (54')
Dec 14, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
4-0
Aberystwyth
Craig (13' pen., 60' pen.), Bradley (62'), Thomas (68')

Goodall (12'), Walker (42'), Baynes (47')
Walker (42')
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
0-0
Caernarfon
Walker (38'), Ahmadi (45'), Goodall (51')
Craig (13'), Ramsay (84')
Edwards (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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