Haverfordwest

2 - 0

Aberystwyth

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.