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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 10, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
 

Bala Town
5 - 2
Aberystwyth

Evans (39'), Smith (44'), Venables (57' pen., 60'), Correia (82')
Stephens (67'), Peate (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Williams (24'), Hewitt (68' pen.)
(67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawAberystwyth Town
51.86%23.58%24.56%
Both teams to score 55.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92%45.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57%67.43%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61%17.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18%47.82%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71%32.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21%68.79%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 51.86%
    Aberystwyth Town 24.56%
    Draw 23.57%
Bala TownDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.48%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 5.62%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.35%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 24.56%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 14
Aberystwyth
0-5
Bala Town

Jones (17')
Jones (28'), Robles (44', 78'), Venables (71', 82')
Sep 27, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Bala Town
2-0
Aberystwyth
Venables (13', 81')
Jones (71')

Ricketts (68')
Nov 17, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bala Town
2-3
Aberystwyth
Tames (28', 77')
Venables (63'), Smith (94')
Kellaway (60'), Ruane (64'), Walker (93')
Walker (69'), Jones (73')
Sep 15, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
3-2
Bala Town
Kellaway (23'), Ahmadi (78'), Ruane (86')
Walker (13'), Baynes (31'), Ahmadi (89'), Wollacott (91')
Hayes (68'), Jones (90' pen.)
Smith (59'), Pearson (83'), Jones (90'), Burns (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont19134237132443
2The New SaintsNew Saints19140555243142
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest199642291333
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU209473025531
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
7Barry Town UnitedBarry208483137-628
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1975731211026
9Newtown AFCNewtown1954102240-1819
10Briton Ferry1952122639-1317
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2052132544-1917
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2042141746-2914


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