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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 26.69% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.76%).
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Leeds United |
26.69% ( 2.21) | 24.79% ( 0.8) | 48.52% ( -3.01) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.45% ( -1.61) | 48.55% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% ( -1.48) | 70.68% ( 1.49) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( 0.95) | 32.43% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% ( 1.05) | 68.95% ( -1.05) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% ( -1.83) | 20.05% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% ( -3.03) | 52.27% ( 3.03) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.69% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.43) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.51) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.32) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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