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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Leeds

Cantwell (22' pen.)
Travis (54'), Dolan (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (23'), Ramazani (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Leeds United

Blackburn Rovers certainly showed their ability to compete with the Championship's stronger sides in their away win over Middlesbrough, but they face another tricky test on Saturday. With Leeds United growing in confidence and boasting plenty of quality all over the pitch, we back Farke's men to continue their winning run at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
23.94% (1.792 1.79) 24.6% (1.508 1.51) 51.46% (-3.303 -3.3)
Both teams to score 51.98% (-2.608 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-4.519 -4.52)49.97% (4.516 4.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (-4.17 -4.17)71.96% (4.168 4.17)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.866 -0.87)35.5% (0.864 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.906 -0.91)72.27% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-2.924 -2.92)19.41% (2.921 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (-5.024 -5.02)51.22% (5.022 5.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 23.94%
    Leeds United 51.46%
    Draw 24.59%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.14% (1.081 1.08)
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.486 0.49)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.94%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 6.89% (1.18 1.18)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 11.29% (1 1)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.514 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.46%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
17.3%
Draw
15.4%
Leeds United
67.3%
52
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 43
Leeds
0-1
Blackburn

Fernandez (90+7')
Szmodics (82')
Carter (28'), Dolan (42'), Tronstad (47'), Pears (85')
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
0-2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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