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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
QPR logo

Leeds
2 - 0
QPR

Bogle (19'), Piroe (90+5')
Byram (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Varane (47'), Morgan (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

Leeds United have excelled on home turf this season and should have more than enough quality to record another comfortable victory against a Queens Park Rangers side lacking any momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
71.38% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 10.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)42.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)64.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)47.35% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (-0.029 -0.03)82.75% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.38%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.91%
    Draw 17.71%
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 12.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 71.38%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 17.71%
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 10.91%

How you voted: Leeds vs QPR

Leeds United
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
Leeds United
76.8%
Draw
17.4%
Queens Park Rangers
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 45
QPR
4-0
Leeds
Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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