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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
71.38% ( 0.03) | 17.71% ( -0) | 10.91% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.5% ( -0.02) | 42.5% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.1% ( -0.02) | 64.9% ( 0.02) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.4% ( 0.01) | 10.6% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.61% ( 0) | 34.39% ( 0) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.65% ( -0.04) | 47.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.25% ( -0.03) | 82.75% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
2-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 71.38% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.71% | 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 10.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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