Derby2 - 0QPR
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
for
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Derby County 2-1 Queens Park Rangers
Winning three of their four Championship home matches so far, Derby will be confident of earning maximum points against an out-of-form QPR side this weekend. The R's are struggling with a number of injury issues and are likely to suffer their third straight defeat as they visit Pride Park on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
44.26% ( -0.07) | 26.75% ( 0.03) | 29% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.95% ( -0.09) | 55.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% ( -0.08) | 76.32% ( 0.08) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0.08) | 24.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.71% ( -0.11) | 59.29% ( 0.11) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( -0.01) | 34.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.25% ( -0.02) | 70.75% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 29% |
