Leeds should come into the clash as slight favourites due to their exceptional home record and strong defensive performances in recent weeks.
Middlesbrough have struggled to keep opponents at bay, but they have been phenomenal in attack, and while they might lose on Tuesday due to their leaky defence, they will no doubt create chances in front of goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
0.14) 
-0.22) 
