EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds0 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Leeds United 3-1 Middlesbrough
Leeds are likely to make a host of alterations to their XI for Wednesday night, but they should still have enough quality on the pitch to cause Middlesbrough serious issues. In comparison, Boro are not as well-endowed in terms of squad depth, so we are envisaging a swift first-round exit for last season's semi-finalists. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
49.89% ( -0.47) | 23.85% ( 0.53) | 26.26% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.75% ( -1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.21% ( -2.45) | 44.78% ( 2.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.85% ( -2.4) | 67.14% ( 2.4) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.97% ( -1.1) | 18.03% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.08% ( -1.92) | 48.91% ( 1.91) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% ( -1.34) | 30.77% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% ( -1.61) | 67.03% ( 1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United 49.89%
Middlesbrough 26.26%
Draw 23.85%
Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.26% |
How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough
Leeds United
75.8%Draw
12.9%Middlesbrough
11.3%62
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-4
Leeds
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
3-2
Middlesbrough
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Middlesbrough
0-1
Leeds
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
4-0
Middlesbrough
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-18 07:59:23
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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