Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.