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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 38
Apr 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
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Leicester
5 - 0
Southampton

Fatawu (25', 75', 81'), Ndidi (62'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Southampton

 Although not at their best versus West Brom - particular during the first period - Leicester got the job done, and we can imagine a similar narrative unfolding on Tuesday night. Southampton will be sapped of energy following Saturday's last-minute defeat at Cardiff, so we are predicting back-to-back losses for the Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
52.64%22.1% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.26%
Both teams to score 61.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.38% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)37.62% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)59.86% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.44% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.3% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 52.64%
    Southampton 25.26%
    Draw 22.1%
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 25.26%

How you voted: Leicester vs Southampton

Leicester City
77.8%
Draw
12.7%
Southampton
9.5%
221
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Vardy (1'), McAteer (18'), Ndidi (45+3'), Mavididi (67')
Maresca (33'), Dewsbury-Hall (39'), Winks (51'), Fatawu (73'), Akgun (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-0
Leicester
Alcaraz (35')
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
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1-2
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Maddison (54')
Daka (76'), Maddison (90+4')
Adams (68', 84')
Elyounoussi (64'), Aribo (82'), Lavia (90+4')
> Preview
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
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Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley146621761124
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
6Millwall146441712522
7Watford147162222022
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149
> Championship Full Table


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