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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Power Stadium
Southampton logo

Leicester
4 - 1
Southampton

Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Southampton

This looks set to be an entertaining encounter at the King Power Stadium on Sunday, with both sides opting for expansive styles and struggling to keep clean sheets. As a result, goals should be expected at both ends of the pitch, but we can see the hosts coming out on top as they look to continue their improved finish to the campaign, and pile further misery on the visitors' dreadful run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
57.29% (0.245 0.24) 21.49% (-0.157 -0.16) 21.22% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.7% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61% (0.62 0.62)39.38% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27% (0.646 0.65)61.72% (-0.646 -0.65)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.277 0.28)13.57% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.32% (0.555 0.56)40.68% (-0.556 -0.56)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (0.27199999999999 0.27)32.08% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (0.308 0.31)68.55% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 57.29%
    Southampton 21.22%
    Draw 21.49%
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.22%

How you voted: Leicester vs Southampton

Leicester City
83.8%
Draw
11.7%
Southampton
4.5%
111
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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