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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Power Stadium
Southampton logo

Leicester
4 - 1
Southampton

Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

Last Six:
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Southampton

Last Six:
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Southampton

 This looks set to be an entertaining encounter at the King Power Stadium on Sunday, with both sides opting for expansive styles and struggling to keep clean sheets. As a result, goals should be expected at both ends of the pitch, but we can see the hosts coming out on top as they look to continue their improved finish to the campaign, and pile further misery on the visitors' dreadful run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
57.29% (0.245 0.24) 21.49% (-0.157 -0.16) 21.22% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.7% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61% (0.62 0.62)39.38% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27% (0.646 0.65)61.72% (-0.646 -0.65)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.277 0.28)13.57% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.32% (0.555 0.56)40.68% (-0.556 -0.56)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (0.27199999999999 0.27)32.08% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (0.308 0.31)68.55% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 57.29%
    Southampton 21.22%
    Draw 21.49%
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.22%

How you voted: Leicester vs Southampton

Leicester City
83.8%
Draw
11.7%
Southampton
4.5%
111
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Southampton
1-1
Leicester
Ward-Prowse (61' pen.)
Minamino (50')
Vestergaard (10')
Evans (68')
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Leicester
1-0
Southampton
Iheanacho (55')

Diallo (5'), Soyuncu (49'), Bednarek (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-0
Southampton
Maddison (37'), Barnes (90+5')
Fofana (15'), Albrighton (45')

Diallo (44'), Bertrand (59')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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