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Premier League | Gameweek 21
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Norwich logo

Leicester
3 - 0
Norwich

Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 1-0 Norwich City

Leicester will again be missing a number of important players, but Norwich have selection issues of their own, and we are expecting the Foxes to pick up another three points, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
66.05% (-3.512 -3.51) 20.6% (1.6 1.6) 13.35% (1.907 1.91)
Both teams to score 45.28% (0.671 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (-2.246 -2.25)49.03% (2.241 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (-2.065 -2.07)71.11% (2.061 2.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-1.715 -1.72)14.01% (1.71 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46% (-3.474 -3.47)41.54% (3.469 3.47)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (1.793 1.79)47.34% (-1.796 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (1.306 1.31)82.74% (-1.31 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 66.04%
    Norwich City 13.35%
    Draw 20.6%
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 12.81% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.878 -0.88)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.734 -0.73)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.415 -0.42)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 66.04%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.748 0.75)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.588 0.59)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.6%
0-1 @ 4.96% (0.665 0.67)
1-2 @ 3.64% (0.447 0.45)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 13.35%

How you voted: Leicester vs Norwich

Leicester City
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Norwich City
6.0%
166
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-2
Leicester
Pukki (44' pen.)
Lees-Melou (25'), Cantwell (82')
Vardy (8'), Albrighton (76')
Albrighton (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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