Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
1 - 2
Leicester

Pukki (44' pen.)
Lees-Melou (25'), Cantwell (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vardy (8'), Albrighton (76')
Albrighton (69')

Age no barrier for Jamie Vardy, says Leicester team-mate Marc Albrighton

The Foxes forward grabbed the opener and set up Marc Albrighton's winner at Carrow Road.

Aug 29, 10:00

Norwich City manager Daniel Farke celebrates after the match on August 24, 2021

Daniel Farke says VAR made a mistake during Norwich's defeat to Leicester

Kenny McLean's late equaliser was ruled out due to Todd Cantwell being in an offside position.

Aug 28, 18:33

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Leicester City
22.86%	24.61%	52.53%

Both teams to score 50.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98%

51.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12%

72.88%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.93%

37.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14%

73.85%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.61%

19.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.8%

51.2%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 22.86%

Leicester City 52.53%

Draw 24.61%

Norwich City	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 7.13% 2-1 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 3.54% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.86%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 11.79% 0-2 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-3 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 5.25% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-4 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 2.15% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.53%