Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Norwich City |
53.73% | 23.37% | 22.9% |
Both teams to score 54.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.15% | 45.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.84% | 68.16% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% | 16.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% | 47.11% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% | 34.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.14% | 70.85% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.12% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |