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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leicester logo

Watford
1 - 5
Leicester

Pedro (6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 0-1 Leicester City

Fans and neutrals alike should not expect sparks to fly at Vicarage Road, with already-relegated Watford dealing with a raft of absentees and Leicester likely to rotate their resources a tad too. The Hornets held out well against Everton, but Leicester have plenty of well-rested attacking stars ready to make an impact and will endeavour to scrape a vital win to keep a top-half spot in their own control. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLeicester City
25.61% (-0.168 -0.17) 24.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 49.72% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-0.052 -0.05)48.83% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)70.93% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.166 -0.17)33.45% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-0.18 -0.18)70.08% (0.175 0.17)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)19.66% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)51.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 25.61%
    Leicester City 49.72%
    Draw 24.66%
WatfordDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 25.61%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.7% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 49.72%

How you voted: Watford vs Leicester

Watford
14.5%
Draw
16.4%
Leicester City
69.1%
110
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Mar 3, 2019 12pm
Watford
2-1
Leicester
Deeney (5'), Gray (92')
Mariappa (13'), Capoue (60'), Doucoure (61'), Deeney (62'), Gray (93')
Vardy (75')
Pereira (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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