Premier League | Gameweek 30
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
We said: Watford 0-2 Everton
With nothing but pride on the line, Watford might be permitted to play with a greater sense of freedom in the knowledge that they have nothing more to lose, but their Vicarage Road streak has been nothing short of abysmal, and a depleted frontline is not a cause for confidence either.
Everton must still have their wits about them - especially given their track record of goals conceded on the road and fresh injury concerns - but Lampard's side are playing out of their skin and should boost their survival hopes further with a crucial triumph.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 36.57% . A win for Everton had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.58%) . The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood .
Result Watford Draw Everton 36.57% ( -3.63) 27.52% ( 0.73) 35.91% ( 2.9)
Both teams to score 49.28% ( -1.87)
43.58% ( -2.55) 56.42% ( 2.55)
22.57% ( -2.1) 77.43% ( 2.1)
70.4% ( -3.3) 29.6% ( 3.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.36% ( -4.21) 65.64% ( 4.21)
69.99% ( 0.59) 30.01% ( -0.59)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.88% ( 0.71) 66.12% ( -0.7)
Watford 36.57%
Everton 35.91%
Draw 27.51%
Watford Draw Everton 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.6) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.57) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.52) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.57% 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 1.16) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.79) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.91%
How you voted: Watford vs Everton
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rhs 2.0
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