Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 1
Watford

Havertz (11'), Barkley (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gosling (87')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23
20	Norwich City	38	-61	22

With both teams expected to make many changes to their starting lineup, this contest will really have an end-of-season feel to it. Nevertheless, Chelsea will want to end an exhausting season on a high, and we expect the Blues to come through in a relatively entertaining game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Watford
77.69% ( -0)	14.44% ( 0)	7.87% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.06% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.05% (

36.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.86% (

59.14%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.26% (

-0)

7.74% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.45%

27.55% (

-0)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.93% (

50.07% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.29% (

84.71% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 77.69%

Watford 7.87%

Draw 14.44%

Chelsea	Draw	Watford
2-0 @ 12.68% 3-0 @ 10.82% 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 7.49% 4-0 @ 6.92% 4-1 @ 4.79% 5-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.66% 6-0 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.51% Total : 77.69%	1-1 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 3.88% 2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 14.44%	0-1 @ 2.68% 1-2 @ 2.37% 0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 7.87%