Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 0
Southampton

Roberts (12'), Collins (44')
Cork (38'), Tarkowski (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bednarek (73'), Perraud (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40
16	Everton	38	-23	39

We said: Burnley 1-1 Southampton

The Clarets and the Saints played out a 2-2 draw at St Mary's earlier this season, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday. The pressure is all on relegation-threatened Burnley to claim maximum points on home soil, but we expect Hasenhuttl's side to frustrate the hosts and secure a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Southampton
28.76%	25.45%	45.79%

Both teams to score 53.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.97%

50.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99%

72.01%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38%

31.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97%

68.04%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93%

55.07%

Score Analysis

Burnley 28.76%

Southampton 45.78%

Draw 25.45%

Burnley	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 7.95% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.76%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 4.67% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.78%