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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Chelsea logo

Burnley
0 - 4
Chelsea


Barnes (84'), Westwood (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
James (47'), Havertz (52', 55'), Pulisic (69')

The Match

Team News

Saul Niguez starts just his third Premier League game for Chelsea against Burnley on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Burnley vs. Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Leicester
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Chelsea vs. Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Burnley 1-2 Chelsea

On paper, this is a very tough match for Chelsea, but the Blues have enjoyed their trips to Turf Moor in the Premier League, and we are expecting Tuchel's side to pick up another three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 12.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.47%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawChelsea
12.19%18.75%69.05%
Both teams to score 47.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17%43.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78%66.22%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.03%45.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.31%81.69%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.42%11.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.45%36.55%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 12.19%
    Chelsea 69.05%
    Draw 18.75%
BurnleyDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 4.14%
2-1 @ 3.47%
2-0 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 12.19%
1-1 @ 8.92%
0-0 @ 5.32%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 18.75%
0-2 @ 12.37%
0-1 @ 11.47%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 6.91%
0-4 @ 4.79%
1-4 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-5 @ 2.07%
1-5 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 69.05%

How you voted: Burnley vs Chelsea

Burnley
10.0%
Draw
15.7%
Chelsea
74.3%
210
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Chelsea
1-1
Burnley
Havertz (33')
James (76')
Vydra (79')
Westwood (68'), Cornet (76'), Tarkowski (84'), Brownhill (90')
Jan 31, 2021 12pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Burnley
0-3
Chelsea

Long (49')
Ziyech (26'), Zouma (63'), Werner (70')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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