Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
2 - 0
Burnley

Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

Last Six:

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

We said: Brentford 1-1 Burnley

A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Brentford Community Stadium, though both sides will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. Burnley are unbeaten in their last three away games, including two in London against Arsenal and Crystal Palace, and we can see them securing at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Burnley
46.85%	26.96%	26.2%

Both teams to score 47.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.68%

57.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85%

78.15%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53%

24.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07%

58.93%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44%

37.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66%

74.34%

Score Analysis

Brentford 46.85%

Burnley 26.2%

Draw 26.96%

Brentford	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.85%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.69% Total : 26.2%