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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Brentford logo

Norwich
1 - 3
Brentford

Pukki (90+2')
Gibson (51'), Hanley (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toney (32', 52' pen., 58' pen.)
Ajer (24'), Eriksen (40'), Jansson (79'), Roerslev (89'), Mbeumo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Norwich City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Norwich
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Norwich vs. Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-3 Brentford
Sunday, May 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brentford vs. Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Brentford

Brentford's inability to keep the back door shut away from home is well-documented, but Norwich boast the worst home attacking record in the division ahead of this relegation six-pointer. Both sides will view this encounter as a priceless opportunity to end their winless runs, but with the Bees enjoying a longer period of rest and boosted by having Toney and Eriksen raring to go, we are tipping the visitors to finally post another victory as Norwich remain rooted to the bottom. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBrentford
37.24%28.11%34.65%
Both teams to score 47.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29%58.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75%79.25%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67%30.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49%66.51%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57%68.43%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 37.23%
    Brentford 34.64%
    Draw 28.11%
Norwich CityDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Norwich vs Brentford

Norwich City
37.8%
Draw
20.5%
Brentford
41.7%
127
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Brentford
1-2
Norwich
Henry (60')
Toney (4'), Goode (28')
Normann (6'), Pukki (29' pen.)
Normann (32'), Omobamidele (52'), Aarons (90')
Mar 3, 2021 5.30pm
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 24, 2019 4.30pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Brentford
1-1
Norwich
Jeanvier (22')
Sawyers (24'), Henry (66'), Dalsgaard (87'), Watkins (90')
Klose (83')
Zimmermann (20'), Aarons (45'), Klose (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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