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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Birmingham logo

Leicester
2 - 1
Birmingham

Dewsbury-Hall (28'), Mavididi (87')
Faes (34'), Mavididi (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stansfield (45')
James (19'), Bielik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Preston
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Birmingham City

Leicester cannot afford any more unexpected slip-ups in the automatic promotion race, with Saturday's clash against Birmingham a good chance to earn maximum points. Blues will be more confident heading to the King Power following the Preston success, but we are still expecting the Foxes to come out on top in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
71% (0.57599999999999 0.58) 17.28% (-0.23 -0.23) 11.72% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (0.16699999999999 0.17)38.25% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.175 0.18)60.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.181 0.18)9.57% (-0.1811 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (0.423 0.42)32.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86% (-0.466 -0.47)43.14% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.59% (-0.395 -0.4)79.41% (0.396 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 70.99%
    Birmingham City 11.72%
    Draw 17.28%
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 11.36% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.89% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.22% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.45% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 70.99%
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.47% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 11.72%

How you voted: Leicester vs Birmingham

Leicester City
84.4%
Draw
6.3%
Birmingham City
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Leicester
3-0
Birmingham
Vardy (47'), Akgun (72'), Praet (88')

Roberts (65'), Roberts (77')
Dec 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
James (14', 74')
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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