MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:30:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Leicester logo
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Birmingham logo

Leicester
2 - 1
Birmingham

Dewsbury-Hall (28'), Mavididi (87')
Faes (34'), Mavididi (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stansfield (45')
James (19'), Bielik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Preston
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Birmingham City

Leicester cannot afford any more unexpected slip-ups in the automatic promotion race, with Saturday's clash against Birmingham a good chance to earn maximum points. Blues will be more confident heading to the King Power following the Preston success, but we are still expecting the Foxes to come out on top in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
71% (0.57599999999999 0.58) 17.28% (-0.23 -0.23) 11.72% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (0.16699999999999 0.17)38.25% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.175 0.18)60.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.181 0.18)9.57% (-0.1811 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (0.423 0.42)32.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86% (-0.466 -0.47)43.14% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.59% (-0.395 -0.4)79.41% (0.396 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 70.99%
    Birmingham City 11.72%
    Draw 17.28%
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 11.36% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.89% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.22% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.45% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 70.99%
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.47% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 11.72%

How you voted: Leicester vs Birmingham

Leicester City
84.4%
Draw
6.3%
Birmingham City
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Leicester
3-0
Birmingham
Vardy (47'), Akgun (72'), Praet (88')

Roberts (65'), Roberts (77')
Dec 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
James (14', 74')
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!