Potentially for the first time this season, the mood in the Birmingham camp may be brighter than their Premier League-bound hosts if recent results are anything to go by, and Blues gave Leicester a proper run for their money a few weeks ago.
However, Maresca's troops give very little away at the King Power, and the Leicester ball should be in the pot for the fifth-round draw come full time, but Birmingham are sure to put up a strong fight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
-0.69) 
0.33) 
