FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

KCOM Stadium

Hull City
1 - 1
Birmingham

Jacob (87')
Tufan (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hull City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hull City 1-0 Birmingham City

Hull will be favourites to progress here considering Birmingham's lack of confidence, but the Tigers could have been handed an easier draw in the third round. Blues are likely to adopt a defence-minded approach as they look to steady the ship ahead of the new manager's arrival, although we believe that Saturday afternoon will end in defeat for Spooner's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Hull City	Draw	Birmingham City
51.61% ( -0.01)	23.49% ( -0)	24.9% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64% (

0.01)

44.36% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.27% (

0.01)

66.73% (

-0.01)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

17.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49% (

47.51%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

0.02)

31.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

0.02)

68.03% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Hull City 51.61%

Birmingham City 24.9%

Draw 23.48%

Hull City	Draw	Birmingham City
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 51.61%	1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 24.9%