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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Birmingham


Meite (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

Cardiff have not been at their best in recent weeks but will be confident of recording back-to-back wins as Birmingham visit South Wales on Wednesday. Blues have lost their last eight away matches and have shown little signs of improvement since Rooney took charge, meaning it is hard to predict anything other than a Bluebirds victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
49.92% (0.35 0.35) 25.5% (0.165 0.17) 24.58% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-1.056 -1.06)53% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.906 -0.91)74.59% (0.90600000000001 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)21.25% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.435 -0.44)54.16% (0.434 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-1.032 -1.03)36.59% (1.031 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-1.049 -1.05)73.37% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 49.92%
    Birmingham City 24.58%
    Draw 25.49%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.92%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.318 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
76.2%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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