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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Birmingham City |
49.92% ( 0.35) | 25.5% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47% ( -1.06) | 53% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% ( -0.91) | 74.59% ( 0.91) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% ( -0.28) | 21.25% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.84% ( -0.44) | 54.16% ( 0.43) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.41% ( -1.03) | 36.59% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.62% ( -1.05) | 73.37% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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