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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
West Brom logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
West Brom


Bowler (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarmiento (50')
Furlong (88'), Bartley (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Cardiff will be raring to go again after their last-minute heroics at Preston on Saturday, and you feel that the Bluebirds will be confident of recording another success. West Brom are a force to be reckoned with under Corberan at the moment and should be able to earn maximum points in South Wales on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
40.84% (0.83600000000001 0.84) 27.09% (0.381 0.38) 32.07% (-1.211 -1.21)
Both teams to score 49.94% (-1.509 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (-1.766 -1.77)55.3% (1.77 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (-1.471 -1.47)76.51% (1.474 1.47)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.363 -0.36)26.61% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.487 -0.49)61.84% (0.49 0.49)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-1.708 -1.71)31.96% (1.713 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (-1.997 -2)68.42% (2.001 2)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 40.84%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.07%
    Draw 27.09%
Cardiff CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.64 0.64)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.35 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.121 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.84%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.567 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.229 -0.23)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.07%

How you voted: Cardiff vs West Brom

Cardiff City
28.9%
Draw
13.2%
West Bromwich Albion
57.9%
38
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cardiff
1-1
West Brom
Kaba (65')
Dike (17')
Aug 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
0-0
Cardiff
O'Shea (21'), Livermore (31'), Molumby (54')
Ojo (33'), Ng (48'), Allsop (72')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Cardiff
Robinson (48')
Bartley (23'), Molumby (85')
Mowatt (76'), Johnstone (90+4')
Collins (34')
Giles (27'), McGuinness (90+3')
Flint (90+4')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff
0-4
West Brom

Collins (39')
Grant (5'), Nelson (56' og.), Mowatt (75'), Phillips (82')
Bartley (42')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cardiff
2-1
West Brom
Paterson (46'), Tomlin (76')
Nelson (65')
Austin (60' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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