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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
40.84% ( 0.84) | 27.09% ( 0.38) | 32.07% ( -1.21) |
Both teams to score 49.94% ( -1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.71% ( -1.77) | 55.3% ( 1.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.49% ( -1.47) | 76.51% ( 1.47) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( -0.36) | 26.61% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% ( -0.49) | 61.84% ( 0.49) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( -1.71) | 31.96% ( 1.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% ( -2) | 68.42% ( 2) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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