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Championship header 2

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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Ipswich
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City

 Bristol City are bound to fight resiliently, as they have throughout the season with each of their last five games finishing with a one-goal margin, but their defensive options are almost exhausted, and with home advantage and the confidence from their dominant midweek display, we envisage the Bluebirds coming out on top in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99%26.71% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22% (0.215 0.21)55.78% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09% (0.174 0.17)76.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.094999999999999 0.09)24.21% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.133 0.13)58.55% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.157 0.16)35.79% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (0.16 0.16)72.57% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.99%
    Bristol City 27.3%
    Draw 26.7%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
72.4%
Draw
24.1%
Bristol City
3.4%
29
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> Preview
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> Preview
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> Preview
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
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1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
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8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
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