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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City

Middlesbrough's newfound mettle will be put to the test and then some on Tuesday night, and Carrick's backline are unlikely to walk away unscathed, especially with their ongoing crisis on the left-hand side. However, Cardiff have also been prone to defensive collapses on rival turf this season, and an entertaining draw could prolong the feel-good factor around the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
56.82% (0.108 0.11) 22.12% (-0.216 -0.22) 21.05% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.884 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (1.098 1.1)42.51% (-1.103 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (1.085 1.09)64.92% (-1.092 -1.09)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.40600000000001 0.41)14.77% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (0.778 0.78)43.01% (-0.783 -0.78)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.723 0.72)34.01% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (0.775 0.78)70.69% (-0.78 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.82%
    Cardiff City 21.05%
    Draw 22.12%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 56.82%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.05%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
17.6%
Cardiff City
32.4%
34
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
1-1
Cardiff
McNair (82')
Morrison (37')
Vaulks (30'), Bennett (57'), Ng (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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