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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.82% ( 0.11) | 22.12% ( -0.22) | 21.05% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.48% ( 1.1) | 42.51% ( -1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.08% ( 1.09) | 64.92% ( -1.09) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% ( 0.41) | 14.77% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.99% ( 0.78) | 43.01% ( -0.78) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( 0.72) | 34.01% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.3% ( 0.78) | 70.69% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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