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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
33.61% ( 1.38) | 27.28% ( 0.2) | 39.12% ( -1.57) |
Both teams to score 49.76% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.31% ( -0.47) | 55.69% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.16% ( -0.38) | 76.84% ( 0.39) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.88% ( 0.69) | 31.12% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.55% ( 0.8) | 67.45% ( -0.8) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -1.09) | 27.75% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% ( -1.42) | 63.32% ( 1.42) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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