We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Coventry City
Coventry have been the draw specialists in recent weeks, and we are predicting another stalemate here. Cardiff are in strong form at this moment in time, but they will be welcoming a Coventry outfit that are difficult to beat, which has led us to predict a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.